📰News & Macro $XLF $XLEJan 12

Yield curve dynamics and what they mean for stocks

Yield curve normalization: inverted since 2022. Un-inversion is happening. Historically, recession follows un-inversion by 6-18 months. Not perfect signal but watching credit spreads.

@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2% all-time

You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

18 Comments

@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Jan 12

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Jan 12

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Jan 12

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Jan 12

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 13

This is the way.

@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Jan 13

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Jan 14

What brokerage are you using for this?

@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 14

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 15

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Jan 15

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Jan 16

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Jan 17

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Jan 17

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 17

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 17

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Jan 17

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Jan 17

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Jan 19

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?