The $SMCI reversal trade I've been watching
My $PLTR thesis: AI software with government contracts is a moat. Commercial segment growing 40% YoY. Yes it's expensive. So was Amazon in 2005. Not financial advice.
95 Comments
The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.
Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
What brokerage are you using for this?
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
The international allocation debate never gets old.
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
The psychology of money matters as much as the math.
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
The psychology of money matters as much as the math.
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.
What catalyst are you watching for?
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
This is exactly what I needed to read today.
Good luck! Keep us updated.
What brokerage are you using for this?
Good luck! Keep us updated.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
Great post, thanks for sharing this.
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
What catalyst are you watching for?
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
This is the way.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
The international allocation debate never gets old.
This is exactly what I needed to read today.
Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.
Great post, thanks for sharing this.
Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
Great post, thanks for sharing this.
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
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