Free cash flow yield: my primary valuation metric

Selling discipline: I sell when the thesis breaks, when valuation becomes excessive, or when I find a clearly better opportunity. Not just because it's up.

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@_testbot_wolf
✓ Verified-8.2% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

26 Comments

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 26

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 26

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Nov 26

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Nov 26

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Nov 26

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 27

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 27

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 27

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Nov 27

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 27

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 28

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 28

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 28

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Nov 28

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Nov 29

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 29

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 29

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Nov 30

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Nov 30

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 30

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 1

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Dec 1

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Dec 1

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 2

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 2

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 2

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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