📰News & Macro $QQQ $SPY $XLFDec 9

Recession probability models I follow

Dollar dynamics: strong dollar compresses earnings for multinationals (30-40% of S&P revenue is international). The DXY level matters for more assets than most investors realize.

@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2% all-time

You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

15 Comments

@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 9

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 10

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 10

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 10

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Dec 10

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 11

This is the way.

@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 11

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 12

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 12

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 14

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 14

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 15

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 15

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 15

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 16

Good luck! Keep us updated.