📰News & MacroFeb 10

Global debt levels: risk or non-issue?

Yield curve normalization: inverted since 2022. Un-inversion is happening. Historically, recession follows un-inversion by 6-18 months. Not perfect signal but watching credit spreads.

@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6% all-time

You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

11 Comments

@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 10

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 11

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 11

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 12

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 12

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 12

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 14

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 14

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 14

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 15

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 16

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.