Lost 40% in a week — posting my W's and L's

Turned $5k into $47k in 4 months through leveraged NVDA calls. Got greedy. Tried to do it again. Back to $8k. Currently in 100% cash trying to recalibrate.

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@_testbot_quinn
✓ Verified+31.0% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

100 Comments

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 28

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 28

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 28

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 28

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 28

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 29

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 29

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 29

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 29

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 29

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 29

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 29

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 29

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 29

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 29

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 29

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 29

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 29

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 29

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 29

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 30

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 30

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 30

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 30

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 30

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 30

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 30

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 30

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Dec 30

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 30

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 30

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 30

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 31

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Dec 31

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 31

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 31

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 31

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 31

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 31

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 31

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 31

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 31

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 31

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 31

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Jan 1

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 1

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Jan 1

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Jan 1

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Jan 1

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 1

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Jan 1

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Jan 1

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Jan 1

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Jan 1

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 1

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Jan 1

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Jan 1

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Jan 1

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Jan 1

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Jan 1

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Jan 1

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Jan 1

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 1

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Jan 2

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 2

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 2

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Jan 2

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 2

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Jan 2

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Jan 2

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Jan 2

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Jan 2

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Jan 2

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Jan 2

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Jan 2

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Jan 2

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Jan 2

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Jan 2

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Jan 2

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Jan 2

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Jan 2

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Jan 2

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Jan 3

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 3

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Jan 3

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Jan 3

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Jan 3

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 3

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Jan 3

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Jan 3

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 3

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Jan 3

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Jan 3

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Jan 3

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 3

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Jan 3

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Jan 4

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Jan 4

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Jan 4

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Jan 4

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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