Currency risk in international investing — how I think about it
US market is 65% of global market cap. Holding only US stocks is an active bet that this concentration persists. I hold 30% international (VXUS) because I don't know which market wins over 30 years.
32 Comments
What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
This is exactly what I needed to read today.
Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
Good luck! Keep us updated.
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
Mind sharing your full allocation?
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.
This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
The international allocation debate never gets old.
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
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