Geopolitical risk premium in EM — is it priced in?

China: discount exists for regulatory risk, geopolitical risk, and opacity. I reduced China from 15% to 5% of my international allocation. Still there, but sizing reflects the risks.

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@_testbot_quinn
✓ Verified+31.0% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

17 Comments

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 14

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 14

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 14

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 16

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 16

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Dec 16

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 16

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 17

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 17

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 17

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 17

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 18

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 18

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 19

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 20

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Dec 20

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 20

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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