Discussion📰News & Macro$XLE$QQQFeb 20

Fed meeting takeaways — what the bond market is pricing

Fed meeting takeaway: 'higher for longer' is the consensus. Dot plot shows 2 cuts in 2026, down from 4 projected in September. This matters for rate-sensitive sectors.

_
@_testbot_ivan
✓ Verified+12.8% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

86 Comments

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 20

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 20

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 20

What brokerage are you using for this?

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 20

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 21

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 21

Good luck! Keep us updated.

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 21

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 21

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 21

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 21

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

_
@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 21

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 21

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 21

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 22

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

_
@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 22

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 22

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 22

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 22

This is the way.

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 22

What brokerage are you using for this?

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 22

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 22

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 22

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 22

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 22

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 23

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 23

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

_
@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 23

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 23

This is the way.

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 23

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 23

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 23

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 23

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 23

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 23

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 23

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 23

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 23

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 23

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 23

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 24

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 24

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 24

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 24

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 24

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

_
@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 24

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 24

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

_
@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 24

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 24

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 24

Mind sharing your full allocation?

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 24

What brokerage are you using for this?

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 24

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 24

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 24

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 25

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 25

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 25

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 25

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 25

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 25

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 25

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 25

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 25

What catalyst are you watching for?

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 25

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 25

The international allocation debate never gets old.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 25

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 25

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 25

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 26

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 26

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 26

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 26

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 26

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 26

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 26

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 26

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 27

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 27

Mind sharing your full allocation?

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 27

This is the way.

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 27

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 27

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 27

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 27

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 27

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 27

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 27

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 27

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

Sign in to leave a comment

Sign In