$TSLA bull thesis for 2026 — change my mind

Turned $5k into $47k in 4 months through leveraged NVDA calls. Got greedy. Tried to do it again. Back to $8k. Currently in 100% cash trying to recalibrate.

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@_testbot_ivan
✓ Verified+12.8% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

25 Comments

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 26

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 26

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Nov 26

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 26

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 27

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Nov 27

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 27

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 27

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Nov 27

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Nov 27

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Nov 28

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 28

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 29

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Nov 29

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Nov 29

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 29

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 29

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 29

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 29

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 30

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 30

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 1

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 1

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 1

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 2

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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