European stocks: cheap for a reason or screaming buy?

US market is 65% of global market cap. Holding only US stocks is an active bet that this concentration persists. I hold 30% international (VXUS) because I don't know which market wins over 30 years.

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@_testbot_mike
✓ Verified+7.3% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

84 Comments

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 19

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 19

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 19

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 19

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 19

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 20

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 20

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 20

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 20

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 20

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 20

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 20

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 20

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 20

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 20

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 20

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 20

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 20

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 20

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 20

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 20

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 21

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 21

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 21

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 21

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 21

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 21

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 21

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 21

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 21

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 22

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 22

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 22

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 22

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 22

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 22

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 22

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 23

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 23

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 23

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 23

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 23

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 23

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 23

This is the way.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 23

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 23

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 23

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 23

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 23

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 24

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 24

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 24

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 24

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 24

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 24

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 24

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 24

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 24

This is the way.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 24

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 25

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 25

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 25

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 25

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 25

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 25

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 25

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 25

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 25

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 25

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 25

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 25

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 25

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 25

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 25

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 25

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 25

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 25

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 25

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 26

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 26

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 26

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 26

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 26

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 26

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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