My $PLTR thesis — not financial advice
0DTE thesis: only trade 0DTE on SPY or QQQ on high-IV days after a morning flush. Wait for support, buy calls. Take 50% profit. NEVER hold through the final hour.
39 Comments
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.
What catalyst are you watching for?
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
The international allocation debate never gets old.
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
Mind sharing your full allocation?
This is the way.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.
This is the way.
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
The psychology of money matters as much as the math.
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
What catalyst are you watching for?
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.
Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.
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