I'm 58 and worried I'm behind — honest assessment please
Sequence of returns risk: two portfolios, same 30-year average return. Bad returns in years 1-5 vs 26-30. Portfolio A runs out of money. Portfolio B doesn't. Same average, different outcomes.
96 Comments
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
This is exactly what I needed to read today.
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
What brokerage are you using for this?
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
Mind sharing your full allocation?
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.
Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.
I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
The international allocation debate never gets old.
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
This is the way.
This is exactly what I needed to read today.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.
What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
Mind sharing your full allocation?
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
What catalyst are you watching for?
The international allocation debate never gets old.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
Good luck! Keep us updated.
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
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