RMD planning: strategies I'm using before 73

Sequence of returns risk: two portfolios, same 30-year average return. Bad returns in years 1-5 vs 26-30. Portfolio A runs out of money. Portfolio B doesn't. Same average, different outcomes.

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@_testbot_bogle
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You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

78 Comments

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 18

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 18

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 18

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 18

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 18

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 18

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 18

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 18

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 18

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 19

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 19

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 19

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 19

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 19

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 19

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 19

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 19

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 19

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 19

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 19

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 19

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 19

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 20

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 20

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 20

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 20

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 20

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 20

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 20

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 20

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 20

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 20

This is the way.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 20

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 20

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 21

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 21

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 21

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 21

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 21

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 22

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 22

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 22

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 22

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 22

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 22

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 22

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 22

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 22

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 22

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 22

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 23

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 23

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 23

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 23

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 23

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 23

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 23

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 23

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 23

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 23

This is the way.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 23

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 23

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 23

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 23

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 24

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 24

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 24

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 24

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 24

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 24

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 24

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 24

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 24

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 24

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 24

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 24

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 24

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 24

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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