My crypto allocation: 60% BTC, 30% ETH, 10% alts
On-chain metrics I watch: MVRV ratio, Puell Multiple, exchange reserves, long-term holder supply. These give more signal than price action.
96 Comments
What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?
This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.
What catalyst are you watching for?
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.
Great post, thanks for sharing this.
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
What catalyst are you watching for?
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
The international allocation debate never gets old.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.
This is exactly what I needed to read today.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.
What catalyst are you watching for?
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
This is exactly what I needed to read today.
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
This is the way.
Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.
Great post, thanks for sharing this.
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
What catalyst are you watching for?
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
Mind sharing your full allocation?
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.
Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
What catalyst are you watching for?
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?
Great post, thanks for sharing this.
This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.
What brokerage are you using for this?
What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.
Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
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