Fed meeting takeaways — what the bond market is pricing

CPI print reaction: headline 3.1%, core 3.4%. Bond market sold off then recovered. The trend matters, not any single print. Core services ex-housing is what the Fed watches.

_
@_testbot_wolf
✓ Verified-8.2% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

66 Comments

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 26

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 26

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Mar 26

What brokerage are you using for this?

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Mar 27

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

_
@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 27

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Mar 27

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Mar 27

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Mar 27

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 27

Good luck! Keep us updated.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 27

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

_
@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Mar 27

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 27

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 27

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 27

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 27

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 27

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 27

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Mar 28

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Mar 28

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 28

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 28

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Mar 28

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 28

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Mar 28

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Mar 28

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Mar 28

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 29

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Mar 29

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 29

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 29

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 29

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 29

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 30

Good luck! Keep us updated.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 30

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 30

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 30

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 30

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 30

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Mar 30

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 30

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Mar 30

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Mar 30

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Mar 30

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Mar 31

This is the way.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Mar 31

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Mar 31

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Mar 31

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Mar 31

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Mar 31

The international allocation debate never gets old.

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 31

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Apr 1

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 1

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Apr 1

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 1

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Apr 1

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Apr 1

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Apr 1

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Apr 1

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Apr 1

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

_
@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Apr 2

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Apr 2

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Apr 2

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 2

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 2

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Apr 2

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Apr 2

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

Sign in to leave a comment

Sign In