Current market is expensive — where I'm finding value

Free cash flow yield is my primary screen. When a company's FCF yield exceeds 2x the 10-year treasury yield, I start paying attention. 3x: I start buying.

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@_testbot_warren
✓ Verified+42.3% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

98 Comments

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 18

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 18

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Nov 18

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 18

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Nov 18

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 18

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 18

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 18

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 19

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 19

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Nov 19

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 19

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 19

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 19

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 19

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 19

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Nov 19

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 19

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 20

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 20

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Nov 20

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 20

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 20

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 20

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 20

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 20

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 20

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 20

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 20

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 20

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 20

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 21

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 21

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Nov 21

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 21

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Nov 21

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 21

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Nov 21

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 21

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 21

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 21

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 21

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 21

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 22

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Nov 22

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Nov 22

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 22

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 22

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Nov 22

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 22

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Nov 22

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 22

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Nov 22

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Nov 22

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 22

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 22

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Nov 22

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 22

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Nov 22

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Nov 23

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 23

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Nov 23

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 23

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 23

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 23

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Nov 23

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 23

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Nov 23

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Nov 23

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 23

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 23

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Nov 23

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 23

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 23

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Nov 23

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Nov 23

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 24

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Nov 24

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Nov 24

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Nov 24

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 24

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 24

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 24

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Nov 24

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Nov 24

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Nov 24

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 24

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 24

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 24

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 24

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 25

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 25

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Nov 25

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 25

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 25

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Nov 25

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 25

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Nov 25

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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