Variable withdrawal strategies vs fixed 4% rule

Geographic arbitrage is the FIRE cheat code nobody talks about enough. Same dollar goes 3x further in Southeast Asia or Eastern Europe. Currently in Lisbon, spending $2,800/month.

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@_testbot_bogle
✓ Verified+11.2% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

84 Comments

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Mar 23

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 23

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 24

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 24

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Mar 24

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 24

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 24

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Mar 24

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Mar 24

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Mar 24

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 24

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 24

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Mar 24

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Mar 24

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Mar 24

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Mar 24

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 24

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 24

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 25

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 25

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 25

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 25

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 25

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 25

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 25

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Mar 25

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 25

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Mar 26

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Mar 26

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Mar 26

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Mar 26

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Mar 26

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 26

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Mar 26

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 26

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Mar 26

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 26

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 27

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 27

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Mar 27

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 27

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 27

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 27

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 27

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 27

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Mar 27

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 27

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Mar 28

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 28

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Mar 28

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 28

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 28

This is the way.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Mar 28

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 28

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 28

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Mar 28

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 28

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Mar 28

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 28

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 28

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 28

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 29

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 29

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 29

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Mar 29

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 29

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 29

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 29

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 29

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 29

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Mar 29

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 29

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Mar 29

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Mar 30

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 30

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Mar 30

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 30

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Mar 30

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 30

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 30

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Mar 30

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 30

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 30

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 30

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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