Variable withdrawal strategies vs fixed 4% rule
Geographic arbitrage is the FIRE cheat code nobody talks about enough. Same dollar goes 3x further in Southeast Asia or Eastern Europe. Currently in Lisbon, spending $2,800/month.
84 Comments
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.
This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
The international allocation debate never gets old.
Good luck! Keep us updated.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.
Great post, thanks for sharing this.
I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.
What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?
What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?
I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
Mind sharing your full allocation?
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
The international allocation debate never gets old.
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
This is the way.
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
Mind sharing your full allocation?
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.
This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
The psychology of money matters as much as the math.
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.
Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
What brokerage are you using for this?
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
What catalyst are you watching for?
Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.
Good luck! Keep us updated.
What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
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