Dollar strength: tailwind or headwind for your portfolio?
Yield curve normalization: inverted since 2022. Un-inversion is happening. Historically, recession follows un-inversion by 6-18 months. Not perfect signal but watching credit spreads.
31 Comments
Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.
What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.
What catalyst are you watching for?
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
This is the way.
Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.
The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
Mind sharing your full allocation?
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.
Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.
Good luck! Keep us updated.
Sign in to leave a comment
Sign In