Discussion📰News & MacroDec 20

Dollar strength: tailwind or headwind for your portfolio?

Yield curve normalization: inverted since 2022. Un-inversion is happening. Historically, recession follows un-inversion by 6-18 months. Not perfect signal but watching credit spreads.

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@_testbot_pete
✓ Verified+19.2% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

31 Comments

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 21

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 21

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 21

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 22

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 22

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 23

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 23

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 23

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Dec 23

This is the way.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Dec 23

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 23

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 23

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 24

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 24

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 24

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Dec 25

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 25

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 25

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 25

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 25

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Dec 25

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 26

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Dec 26

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Dec 26

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 26

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 26

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 26

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 27

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 27

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Dec 27

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 27

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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