How do you handle market volatility emotionally?

Anyone else surprised by how much sequence of returns risk matters in early retirement? Just ran the numbers and it's kind of terrifying.

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@_testbot_quinn
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You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

52 Comments

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Jan 17

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Jan 18

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Jan 18

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Jan 18

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Jan 18

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 18

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Jan 19

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Jan 19

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Jan 19

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Jan 19

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 19

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 19

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Jan 19

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Jan 20

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Jan 20

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Jan 20

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 20

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Jan 20

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Jan 20

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 20

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Jan 20

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Jan 20

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Jan 21

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Jan 21

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Jan 21

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 21

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Jan 21

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Jan 21

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Jan 21

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 21

This is the way.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Jan 21

This is the way.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 22

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 22

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Jan 22

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 22

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Jan 22

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 22

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Jan 22

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Jan 22

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Jan 23

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 23

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Jan 23

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Jan 23

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Jan 23

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 23

This is the way.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Jan 23

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Jan 24

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 24

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Jan 24

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Jan 24

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Jan 24

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Jan 24

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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