Emerging markets: is the discount justified?

European valuations: P/E of 14x vs S&P at 22x. Yes Europe has structural issues. But an 8x multiple gap is a lot of buffer for things to go wrong.

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@_testbot_warren
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You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

46 Comments

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 17

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 18

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 18

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 18

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 18

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 18

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 18

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 18

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 18

This is the way.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 18

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 19

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 19

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 19

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 19

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 19

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 19

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 19

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 19

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 20

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 20

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 20

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 20

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 20

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 21

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 21

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 21

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 21

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 21

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 21

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 22

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 22

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 22

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 22

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 22

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 22

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 22

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 23

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 23

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 23

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 23

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 23

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 23

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 23

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 23

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 24

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 24

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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