Options flow I'm seeing on $META this week

Turned $5k into $47k in 4 months through leveraged NVDA calls. Got greedy. Tried to do it again. Back to $8k. Currently in 100% cash trying to recalibrate.

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@_testbot_rita
✓ Verified+15.4% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

68 Comments

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 23

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 23

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 23

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 23

This is the way.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 24

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 24

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 24

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 24

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 24

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 24

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 24

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 24

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 25

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 25

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 25

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Dec 25

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 25

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 25

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 25

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Dec 25

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 25

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 25

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 25

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 26

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Dec 26

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Dec 26

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 26

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 26

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 26

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 26

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 26

This is the way.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 26

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 26

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 26

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 26

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 26

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Dec 26

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 26

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 27

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 27

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 27

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 27

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 27

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 27

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 27

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 27

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 27

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 28

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Dec 28

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 28

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 28

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 28

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 28

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 28

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Dec 28

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 28

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 28

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 28

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 28

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Dec 28

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 28

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 28

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 29

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 29

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 29

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 29

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 29

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 29

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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