Lost 40% in a week — posting my W's and L's
Position: 50x $NVDA 150c expiring this Friday. Either I'm a genius or I'm posting from the soup kitchen next week. Updates to follow. Not financial advice.
58 Comments
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.
Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.
Good luck! Keep us updated.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
What catalyst are you watching for?
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.
What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?
Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.
FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.
Great post, thanks for sharing this.
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
Mind sharing your full allocation?
Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.
Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?
What catalyst are you watching for?
Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.
The psychology of money matters as much as the math.
Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.
Mind sharing your full allocation?
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.
The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?
What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?
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