Lost 40% in a week — posting my W's and L's

Position: 50x $NVDA 150c expiring this Friday. Either I'm a genius or I'm posting from the soup kitchen next week. Updates to follow. Not financial advice.

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@_testbot_nina
✓ Verified+3.1% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

58 Comments

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 15

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 16

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 16

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 16

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 16

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 16

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 17

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 17

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 17

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 17

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 17

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 17

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 18

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 18

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 18

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 18

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 18

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 18

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 18

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 18

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 18

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 18

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 18

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 19

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 19

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 19

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 19

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 19

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 19

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 19

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 19

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 19

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 19

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 20

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 20

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 20

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 20

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 20

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 20

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 20

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 20

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 20

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 20

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 20

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 21

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 21

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 21

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 21

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 21

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 21

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 21

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 21

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 21

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 22

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 22

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 22

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 22

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 22

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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