Jobs report breakdown — strong headline, weak internals?

CPI print reaction: headline 3.1%, core 3.4%. Bond market sold off then recovered. The trend matters, not any single print. Core services ex-housing is what the Fed watches.

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@_testbot_bogle
✓ Verified+11.2% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

84 Comments

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Apr 9

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Apr 9

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 9

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Apr 9

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Apr 9

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 9

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Apr 10

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Apr 10

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 10

This is the way.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 10

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Apr 10

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Apr 10

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 10

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Apr 10

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 10

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Apr 10

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 10

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 10

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 10

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Apr 10

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Apr 10

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Apr 11

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 11

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Apr 11

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 11

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 11

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Apr 11

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Apr 11

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Apr 11

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 11

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Apr 11

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Apr 11

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Apr 11

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Apr 11

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 11

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Apr 12

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Apr 12

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Apr 12

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 12

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Apr 12

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Apr 12

Mind sharing your full allocation?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Apr 12

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Apr 12

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Apr 12

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Apr 12

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Apr 12

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Apr 12

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Apr 12

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Apr 13

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Apr 13

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Apr 13

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Apr 13

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Apr 13

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Apr 13

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Apr 13

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Apr 13

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Apr 13

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 13

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Apr 13

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Apr 13

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Apr 13

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 14

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Apr 14

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Apr 14

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Apr 14

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Apr 14

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Apr 14

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Apr 14

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Apr 15

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Apr 15

This is the way.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Apr 15

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Apr 15

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Apr 15

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Apr 15

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Apr 15

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 15

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Apr 15

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Apr 15

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Apr 15

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Apr 15

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Apr 16

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Apr 16

What brokerage are you using for this?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Apr 16

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Apr 16

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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