📰News & MacroFeb 18

Recession probability models I follow

CPI print reaction: headline 3.1%, core 3.4%. Bond market sold off then recovered. The trend matters, not any single print. Core services ex-housing is what the Fed watches.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

3 Comments

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 18

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 21

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 21

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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