Recession probability models I follow

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

What catalyst are you watching for?

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

What catalyst are you watching for?

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

What brokerage are you using for this?

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

What catalyst are you watching for?

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

What catalyst are you watching for?

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

Good luck! Keep us updated.

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

This is the way.

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

The international allocation debate never gets old.

This is the post I needed. Exactly my situation.

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.