BTC to $200k by end of year — bear with me here

On-chain metrics I watch: MVRV ratio, Puell Multiple, exchange reserves, long-term holder supply. These give more signal than price action.

_
@_testbot_fiona
✓ Verified+23.1% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

26 Comments

_
@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Feb 5

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 5

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 5

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 6

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 6

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 6

What catalyst are you watching for?

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 7

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 7

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 7

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 7

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 7

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 7

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

_
@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 7

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 8

Good luck! Keep us updated.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 8

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 8

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

_
@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 8

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 9

This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 9

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 9

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 9

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 9

Great post, thanks for sharing this.

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 11

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 11

How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 11

This is the way.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 11

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

Sign in to leave a comment

Sign In