BTC to $200k by end of year — bear with me here
On-chain metrics I watch: MVRV ratio, Puell Multiple, exchange reserves, long-term holder supply. These give more signal than price action.
26 Comments
Great post, thanks for sharing this.
The psychology of money matters as much as the math.
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
What catalyst are you watching for?
Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.
The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.
How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.
I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?
Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?
Good luck! Keep us updated.
Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.
I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.
The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.
This is essentially what a financial advisor charges $5k to tell you.
Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.
Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.
The math here is solid. This is what people miss.
Great post, thanks for sharing this.
I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.
How did this perform during the 2022 drawdown?
This is the way.
This is a solid framework. Saving this post.
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