Analysis📰News & MacroDec 13

AI capex cycle: is the spending sustainable?

Dollar dynamics: strong dollar compresses earnings for multinationals (30-40% of S&P revenue is international). The DXY level matters for more assets than most investors realize.

@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1% all-time

You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

35 Comments

@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 14

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 14

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 14

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Dec 14

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 14

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 14

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 14

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 14

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 15

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Dec 15

The international allocation debate never gets old.

@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 15

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 15

The international allocation debate never gets old.

@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 15

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 15

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Dec 15

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 15

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 15

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Dec 16

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 16

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 16

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 16

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 16

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Dec 16

Fees really do compound in the wrong direction.

@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Dec 17

This is a solid framework. Saving this post.

@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 17

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 17

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Dec 18

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Dec 18

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Dec 18

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Dec 18

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Dec 18

The compounding at year 20+ is when it gets really wild.

@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Dec 18

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Dec 18

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Dec 18

The math here is solid. This is what people miss.

@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Dec 19

What brokerage are you using for this?