SPY puts — I'm going full bear mode

Full transparency: started year with $45k. Peak: $112k in March. Current: $28k. The market humbles you. Still holding $PLTR. Diamond hands or cope? Probably cope.

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@_testbot_fiona
✓ Verified+23.1% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

59 Comments

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Oct 29

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Oct 29

The international allocation debate never gets old.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Oct 29

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Oct 29

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Oct 29

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Oct 29

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Oct 29

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Oct 29

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Oct 30

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Oct 30

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Oct 30

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Oct 30

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Oct 30

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Oct 30

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Oct 30

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Oct 31

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Oct 31

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Oct 31

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Oct 31

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Oct 31

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Oct 31

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 1

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 1

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 1

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 1

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Nov 1

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 1

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Nov 1

This is why I come to this community. Real numbers, real analysis.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 1

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 1

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 1

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Nov 1

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 1

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 2

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Nov 2

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Nov 2

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Nov 2

Good luck! Keep us updated.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 2

What catalyst are you watching for?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 2

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Nov 3

I ran the same numbers. You're on the right track.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 3

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Nov 3

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 3

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_yang✓ Verified-22.4%Nov 3

I've been burned by this before. Your caution is warranted.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 3

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Nov 4

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 4

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Nov 4

Real talk: most people can't stick to this when it gets hard.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Nov 4

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Nov 4

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Nov 4

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Nov 4

Love the transparency. This community needs more of this.

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Nov 4

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Nov 4

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Nov 4

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Nov 4

Not financial advice but I'm doing the exact same thing.

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@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Nov 4

Have you considered the tax implications of this approach?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Nov 5

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Nov 5

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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