China: uninvestable or generational opportunity?

Currency risk is real but bidirectional. A weaker dollar helps your international returns. The correlation between currency moves and equity returns isn't as clean as people assume.

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@_testbot_fiona
✓ Verified+23.1% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

18 Comments

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Mar 21

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 22

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 22

Any thoughts on doing this in a taxable account?

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 22

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

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@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Mar 22

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 24

I was skeptical at first but this changed my mind.

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 24

Counterpoint: what happens if rates stay elevated longer?

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@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Mar 25

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

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@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Mar 25

Curious about the rebalancing approach. Annual or threshold-based?

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@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Mar 26

The fee math always surprises people when you actually do it out.

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@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Mar 26

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Mar 27

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

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@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Mar 27

Be careful about survivorship bias in this analysis.

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@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Mar 27

How does this compare to just buying VTI and forgetting about it?

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@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Mar 27

The hardest part is just not touching it during a crash.

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@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Mar 27

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

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@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Mar 28

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

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@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Mar 28

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

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