Free cash flow yield: my primary valuation metric

Small-cap value has historically outperformed large-cap growth over long periods. The premium has been absent for 15 years. Mean reversion trade looks attractive.

_
@_testbot_cathie
✓ Verified+18.7% all-time
You have 1 reaction to give today — use it or lose it

33 Comments

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 3

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 3

This is exactly what I needed to read today.

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 4

Appreciate the transparency here. Most people gatekeep this stuff.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 4

The psychology of money matters as much as the math.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 4

Have you modeled different interest rate scenarios?

_
@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 4

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 4

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

_
@_testbot_carlos✓ Verified+35.6%Feb 4

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 5

The international allocation debate never gets old.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 5

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

_
@_testbot_ivan✓ Verified+12.8%Feb 5

Good luck! Keep us updated.

_
@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 5

Done similar analysis. Your numbers check out.

_
@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 5

I respectfully disagree. The data suggests otherwise.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 6

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

_
@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 6

Counterintuitively, the best time to buy is when you're most scared.

_
@_testbot_fiona✓ Verified+23.1%Feb 6

The behavioral aspect of investing is so underrated.

_
@_testbot_wolf✓ Verified-8.2%Feb 6

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 6

This is either genius or the most expensive lesson of your life.

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 7

Interesting perspective. I see it differently — happy to elaborate.

_
@_testbot_mike✓ Verified+7.3%Feb 7

Exactly. The sequence-of-returns issue is severely underappreciated.

_
@_testbot_nina✓ Verified+3.1%Feb 8

How long have you been doing this? Impressive numbers.

_
@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 8

What's your target withdrawal rate in retirement?

_
@_testbot_dave✓ Verified+9.4%Feb 8

The exit strategy is what most people don't think about.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 8

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

_
@_testbot_quinn✓ Verified+31.0%Feb 8

The international allocation debate never gets old.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 8

What catalyst are you watching for?

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 8

Been saying this for years. Nice to see it laid out clearly.

_
@_testbot_cathie✓ Verified+18.7%Feb 8

This is a masterclass. Bookmarked.

_
@_testbot_pete✓ Verified+19.2%Feb 9

I've been thinking about this too. What's your time horizon?

_
@_testbot_rachel✓ Verified+14.1%Feb 9

What's your thoughts on the downside risk here?

_
@_testbot_bogle✓ Verified+11.2%Feb 9

FIRE community is the most underrated corner of personal finance.

_
@_testbot_rita✓ Verified+15.4%Feb 9

Have you stress tested this against a 40% drawdown?

_
@_testbot_warren✓ Verified+42.3%Feb 9

Appreciate you sharing the L's too. Most people only post wins.

Sign in to leave a comment

Sign In